The tallest man-made structure ever built opened this week in Dubai. The Burj Khalifa Tower stands at a little over 2,700 feet.  This opening comes at a time when Dubai is in the midst of a serious financial crisis.  So should the construction of the tower have clued us into the coming financial collapse?  Probably, according to the Skyscraper Index created by economist Andrew Lawrence.  A paper by Mark Thronton, Skyscrapers and Business Cycle, takes an in depth look at the Skyscraper Index.  It is long but worth a good skimming.   Basically, the paper explains that the Skyscraper Index “shows a correlation between the construction of the world’s tallest building and the business cycle.”  We often see a construction boom before a financial bust, but how accurate is the Skyscraper Index?  According to Thornton, accurate enough that we should probably pay attention the next time construction starts on one of these super-skyscrapers.
            The Austrian Business Cycle theory argues that artificially low interest rates, set by central banks, lead to malinvestment of capital.  Businesses will start to favor long term capital projects.  What better example of a long term capital project than a big ass skyscraper.